Updated: Jun 16
Are We Overlooking David Montgomery?
Written by: Damian Paton (@boltupfantasy)
Currently being drafted as the RB 15, I have Chicago Bears RB David Montgomery as my RB 10 in redraft leagues.
Despite suffering a knee injury that knocked him out for 4 games, David Montgomery still managed to finish with the 7th highest PPR points per game at the RB position and the 9th most rushing attempts in the NFL.
On @Sleeper Montgomery is being drafted AFTER players like Cam Akers, James Conner, Javonte Williams, Saquon Barkley, and Zeke Elliot… none of which are guaranteed successes with their current injury and workload concerns
It’s important to note that outside of Darnell Mooney, Montgomery is the only other proven skill position player on this Bears offense. This will likely indicate that this offense will be built around the NFL proven talents on the roster!
Second year RB Khalil Herbert, who many across the fantasy football industry have as a sleeper for this year, was able to take advantage of the opportunity he saw in the games that Montgomery missed due to injury.
Over 3 starts Khalil Herbert put up 60 carries, 269 rushing yards, 4.48 yards per carry, 1 rushing TD, 9 catches, and 44 yards receiving yards. Which equates to 46.3 PPR points and 15.4 points per game, which would’ve tied for 13th at RB with Browns RB Nick Chubb.
Despite Herbert putting up efficient numbers as the team’s starter, after Montgomery returned from injury through the end of the season (9 games) Herbert only played an average of 16% of the Bears’ offensive snaps. Which is microscopic compared to the average 83% snap share he saw in his games as a starter.
I highlight these snap percentages to emphasize the role that the starting RB plays for the Chicago Bears offense.
A true bellcow, every down back, who will have very optimal usage for fantasy football managers!
While Herbert’s role may expand due to showing promise as a rookie and the team lacking offensive weapons, Montgomery’s role will remain the same, as stated, the primary ball carrier and the team’s red zone back.
Let’s not forget how much of a force Montgomery can be in goal line situations!
For those who argue that Herbert appeared to be the more explosive RB of the two, you may just be falling victim to recency bias.
Montgomery’s 5 longest career carries: 38 yards, 41 yards, 55 yards, 57 yards, and 80 yards
Herbert’s season high was 29 yards last season.
If Montgomery has a lane, he’ll take it to the house!
For those who seek to draft WR, TE, or even QB early… I highly recommend taking advantage of Montgomery’s ADP, which is pick (4.01).
In theory you can start the 2022 season with Montgomery as your RB3, this is INSANE value!